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Tropical Storm Chris
Tropical Depression 3 formed at the 5 pm advisory on July 6, 2018 with winds of 30 mph and a pressure of 1016 mb off the coast of North Carolina. It remained a depression for a few days before intensifying into Tropical Storm Chris where it hovered off the coast of the Carolinas and intensified further.
Impacts
Which Model Won?
- ECMWF - Weak TS initially, transitioned slowly to strong hurricane, between category 1 and 2, with one run showing a min pressure of 960 mb. Brushes Canada.
- CMC - Sniffed out the system just before the GFS did.
- GFS - Showed a strong hurricane around a category 1 or 2 either brushing Canada or staying just offshore. Some runs brushed Massachusetts.
- FV3 - Weaker than the GFS and ECMWF and stays out to sea. Still becomes a category 1 hurricane with pressure around 980 mb.
- NAVGEM - Slightly weaker than the FV3 and hits Canada. Pressure around 985 mb. Category 1 hurricane.
- UKMET - N/A
- HWRF - Slightly weaker than the HMON on some runs and brushes Canada, though a few runs bring it close to major hurricane strength. Pressure in the 970 mbs
- HMON - Strong Category 2 hurricane brushes or hits Canada. Pressure min is around 963 mb.
End Result:
