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Tropical Storm Maria
Potential Tropical Cyclone 15 formed on the 11 am advisory of September 16, 2017, with sustained winds of 35 mph and a pressure of 1009 mb.
PTC 15 was upgraded to TD 15 at 2 pm, then Tropical storm Maria on the 5 pm advisory, aimed at Puerto Rico to become a major hurricane.
Impacts
Which Model Won?
- ECMWF - Major hurricane hitting or just passing through Greater Antilles, then curving OTS mostly or going into the NE or Southeast.
- CMC - Anywhere from OTS as a cat 1 to into the Southeast as a Cat 1.
- GFS - Cat 2 in the Caribbean going just south of Puerto Rico and then into Hispaniola. Landfalls for the US vary from North Florida to the Mid- Atlantic.
- NAVGEM - Tropical storm into the Greater Antilles.
- UKMET - Cat 1 or 2 hurricane along same path as ECMWF and GFS.
- HWRF - Strong Category 4 in the Caribbean striking Puerto Rico form the south, but a bit slower than the HMON.
- HMON - Strong Category 4 in the Caribbean striking Puerto Rico form the south of Hispaniola.
End Result:
