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potential_tropical_cyclone_eighteen [2017/10/28 00:33]
forsythsnow created 		potential_tropical_cyclone_eighteen [2017/10/29 13:26] (current)
forsythsnow [Impacts]
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 ====== Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 ====== ====== Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 ======
 PTC 16 formed in the Western Caribbean on the 5 PM advisory of October 27, 2017 with max sustained winds of 35 mph and a central pressure of 1006 mb as confirmed by a recon aircraft. PTC 16 formed in the Western Caribbean on the 5 PM advisory of October 27, 2017 with max sustained winds of 35 mph and a central pressure of 1006 mb as confirmed by a recon aircraft.
 +
 +===== Impacts =====
 +Philippe made landfall on the South coast of Florida early the morning of October 29, 2017 as a 45 mph tropical storm at just after 5 AM.
 +
 +===== Which Model Won? =====
 +  * ECMWF - weak TS to depression.
 +
 +  * CMC - Moderate TS, sniffed out system. Closer to land.
 +
 +  * GFS - Strong TS late in life, maybe a low end cat 1. Way OTS.
 +
 +  * NAVGEM - weak TS never reaching 1000 mb.
 +
 +  * UKMET - Strong TS, middle ground.
 +
 +  * HWRF - Strong cat 1 hurricane off the coast of FL, to Nova Scotia. ​
 +
 +  * HMON - Weak TS passing FL, then stronger TS past.
 +
 +End Result: ​
 +
 +===== Threads =====
 +
 +
 +===== Storm Images =====
 +
 +
 +[[prevstormpage|← Previous Storm]] ​  
 +;;#
 +[[nextstormpage|Next Storm →]]
 +;;#