Potential Tropical Cyclone 16
PTC 16 formed in the Western Caribbean on the 5 PM advisory of October 27, 2017 with max sustained winds of 35 mph and a central pressure of 1006 mb as confirmed by a recon aircraft.
Impacts
Philippe made landfall on the South coast of Florida early the morning of October 29, 2017 as a 45 mph tropical storm at just after 5 AM.
Which Model Won?
- ECMWF - weak TS to depression.
- CMC - Moderate TS, sniffed out system. Closer to land.
- GFS - Strong TS late in life, maybe a low end cat 1. Way OTS.
- NAVGEM - weak TS never reaching 1000 mb.
- UKMET - Strong TS, middle ground.
- HWRF - Strong cat 1 hurricane off the coast of FL, to Nova Scotia.
- HMON - Weak TS passing FL, then stronger TS past.
End Result:
