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tropical_depression_8 [2017/08/16 23:53]
forsythsnow [Hurricane Gert]
tropical_depression_8 [2017/08/25 19:44] (current)
forsythsnow [Storm Images]
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 Gert continued to intensify slowly, but hit a stall after getting dry air into its core, hence keeping its winds at 75 mph for some time. After that, Gert intensified fast into a strong category 1 before jumping to a low end category 2 on August 16, 2017. Gert continued to intensify slowly, but hit a stall after getting dry air into its core, hence keeping its winds at 75 mph for some time. After that, Gert intensified fast into a strong category 1 before jumping to a low end category 2 on August 16, 2017.
 +
 +On the afternoon of August 17, 2017, Gert became an extratropical cyclone as it accelerated pole ward.
 +
 +Later that day at the 5 PM advisory, Gert dissipated.
 +
 ===== Impacts ===== ===== Impacts =====
 Gert caused rough seas along the East coast of the US as well as rough seas in the path it traveled. Gert caused rough seas along the East coast of the US as well as rough seas in the path it traveled.
 +
 ===== Which Model Won? ===== ===== Which Model Won? =====
   * ECMWF - Found the system way out, but incorrectly modeled its lifetime, making it much further back on its track. As of development,​ snowed a very weak system to nearly nonexistent. Weak TS after development to strong TS.   * ECMWF - Found the system way out, but incorrectly modeled its lifetime, making it much further back on its track. As of development,​ snowed a very weak system to nearly nonexistent. Weak TS after development to strong TS.
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   * HMON-PARA - Low strength tropical depression or storm, transitioned to a strong cat 1 or weak 2.   * HMON-PARA - Low strength tropical depression or storm, transitioned to a strong cat 1 or weak 2.
  
-End Result: ​+End Result: ​    
 + 
 +  *  Long - medium range : CMC and HWRF and HMON - The CMC found the system and the track relatively well and maintained it ever since it was in the middle of the Atlantic. The HMON and HWRF varied on strength, but got the path right. The other models just weren'​t interested in Gert at all. 
 + 
 +  * Short Range : HWRF and HMON - The HWRF and HMON once more were on opposite sides, but ended up tying in the sense that the HMON was too weak early on, but came to its senses and the HWRF was spot on early but became too strong. The NAM overdid the system by blowing it up into a major hurricane. 
 + 
 +  * Strength : HWRF and HMON. The HWRF did well initially, but failed when it came down to longer range. the HMON started out on the wrong foot, but found a correct solution with the correct winds and pressure. The CMC was too weak and the GFS and ECMWF had no interest in developing the system into a hurricane until it actually became one.  
 + 
 + 
 +  ​
  
 ===== Threads ===== ===== Threads =====
  
-[[https://​southernwx.com/​community/​threads/​tropical-depression-8.216/​|Tropical Depression 8]]+[[https://​southernwx.com/​community/​threads/​tropical-depression-8.216/​|Hurricane Gert]]
  
 ===== Storm Images ===== ===== Storm Images =====
-{{:​024954_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png?​200|}} {{:​td82017august13morningsat.jpg?​200|}} {{:​tsgertconeaug1320175pm.png?​200|}} {{:​td82017august13afternoon.jpg?​200|}} {{:​tsgertsatimgaug132017evening.jpg?​200|}} {{:​tsgertaug142017eveningsatimg.jpg?​200|}} {{:​tsgertcone8pmaug142017.png?​200|}} {{:​hurricanegertaug152017satimgafternoon.jpg?​200|}} {{:​hurricanegertaug162017morningsatimg.jpg?​200|}} {{:​hurricanegertconeaug162017morning.png?​200|}}{{:​hurricanegertaug162017satimgafternoon.jpg?​200|}}+{{:​024954_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png?​200|}} {{:​td82017august13morningsat.jpg?​200|}} {{:​tsgertconeaug1320175pm.png?​200|}} {{:​td82017august13afternoon.jpg?​200|}} {{:​tsgertsatimgaug132017evening.jpg?​200|}} {{:​tsgertaug142017eveningsatimg.jpg?​200|}} {{:​tsgertcone8pmaug142017.png?​200|}} {{:​hurricanegertaug152017satimgafternoon.jpg?​200|}} {{:​hurricanegertaug162017morningsatimg.jpg?​200|}} {{:​hurricanegertconeaug162017morning.png?​200|}}{{:​hurricanegertaug162017satimgafternoon.jpg?​200|}} ​{{:​hurricanegerteveningaug162017satimg.jpg?​200|}} {{:​hurricanegertnightaug162017satimg.gif?​200|}} {{:​hurricanegertaug162017cone.png?​200|}} {{:​hurricanegertaug172017morning.gif?​200|}} {{:​hurricanegertconeaug172017.png?​200|}} 
 + 
 +[[potential_tropical_cyclone_seven|← Hurricane Franklin]] ​   
 +    
 +[[potential_tropical_cyclone_nine|Major Hurricane Harvey →]]