Potential Tropical Cyclone 10
PTC 10, or former Invest 92L, the second storm to cross the Atlantic with Harvey, formed on the evening of Aug 27, 2017 at the 5 PM advisory after developing quickly off the coast of Georgia.
After failing to gain TC status, PTC faded into a remnant low on August 29, 2017.
Impacts
PTC 10 caused some winds and maybe rough seas, and resulted in TS warnings on the coasts of the Carolinas.
Which Model Won?
- ECMWF - No interest in a low until it was further up the coast
- CMC - Had interest in developing the system into a tropical storm. Found the system
- GFS - Had a low, but a weak depression at most.
- UKMET - N/A
- NAM - Developed a landfalling tropical storm.
- HWRF - Weak TD/TS.
- HMON - Weak TD/TS.
End Result:
- Long - medium range : GFS - The GFS was the only model to form a low, and somewhat elongated too. The ECMWF was too weak and the hurricane models seemed to fail and develop the system into at least a depression. The CMC was too strong and so were the other models. However, the CMC did find the system.
- Short Range : None, refer to LR.
- Strength : No formation, so refer to the Long/medium range.
