Table of Contents
Potential Tropical Cyclone 10
PTC 10, or former Invest 92L, the second storm to cross the Atlantic with Harvey, formed on the evening of Aug 27, 2017 at the 5 PM advisory after developing quickly off the coast of Georgia.
After failing to gain TC status, PTC faded into a remnant low on August 29, 2017.
Impacts
PTC 10 caused some winds and maybe rough seas, and resulted in TS warnings on the coasts of the Carolinas.
Which Model Won?
- ECMWF - No interest in a low until it was further up the coast
- CMC - Had interest in developing the system into a tropical storm. Found the system
- GFS - Had a low, but a weak depression at most.
- UKMET - N/A
- NAM - Developed a landfalling tropical storm.
- HWRF - Weak TD/TS.
- HMON - Weak TD/TS.
End Result:
- Long - medium range : GFS - The GFS was the only model to form a low, and somewhat elongated too. The ECMWF was too weak and the hurricane models seemed to fail and develop the system into at least a depression. The CMC was too strong and so were the other models. However, the CMC did find the system.
- Short Range : None, refer to LR.
- Strength : No formation, so refer to the Long/medium range.
