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potential_tropical_cyclone_ten [2017/08/27 20:41] forsythsnow created |
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====== Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 ====== | ====== Potential Tropical Cyclone 10 ====== | ||
PTC 10, or former Invest 92L, the second storm to cross the Atlantic with Harvey, formed on the evening of Aug 27, 2017 at the 5 PM advisory after developing quickly off the coast of Georgia. | PTC 10, or former Invest 92L, the second storm to cross the Atlantic with Harvey, formed on the evening of Aug 27, 2017 at the 5 PM advisory after developing quickly off the coast of Georgia. | ||
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+ | After failing to gain TC status, PTC faded into a remnant low on August 29, 2017. | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===== Impacts ===== | ||
+ | PTC 10 caused some winds and maybe rough seas, and resulted in TS warnings on the coasts of the Carolinas. | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===== Which Model Won? ===== | ||
+ | * ECMWF - No interest in a low until it was further up the coast | ||
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+ | * CMC - Had interest in developing the system into a tropical storm. Found the system | ||
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+ | * GFS - Had a low, but a weak depression at most. | ||
+ | |||
+ | * UKMET - N/A | ||
+ | |||
+ | * NAM - Developed a landfalling tropical storm. | ||
+ | |||
+ | * HWRF - Weak TD/TS. | ||
+ | |||
+ | * HMON - Weak TD/TS. | ||
+ | |||
+ | End Result: | ||
+ | |||
+ | * Long - medium range : GFS - The GFS was the only model to form a low, and somewhat elongated too. The ECMWF was too weak and the hurricane models seemed to fail and develop the system into at least a depression. The CMC was too strong and so were the other models. However, the CMC did find the system. | ||
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+ | * Short Range : None, refer to LR. | ||
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+ | * Strength : No formation, so refer to the Long/medium range. | ||
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+ | ===== Threads ===== | ||
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+ | [[https://southernwx.com/community/threads/potential-tropical-cyclone-ten.220/page-13|PTC 10]] | ||
+ | |||
+ | ===== Storm Images ===== | ||
+ | |||
+ | {{:ptc10satimgaug272017.jpg?200|}} {{:ptc10coneaug272017.png?200|}} {{:ptc10coneaug282017.png?200|}} {{:ptc10satimgaug282017evening.jpg?200|}} {{:ptc10aug292017moringsatimg.jpg?200|}} {{:ptc10finalsatimgaug292017.jpg?200|}} {{:ptc10finalconeaug292017.png?200|}} | ||
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+ | [[potential_tropical_cyclone_nine|← Major Hurricane Harvey]] | ||
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+ | [[tropical_storm_irma|Tropical Storm Irma →]] |