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tropical_depression_two [2018/07/05 16:19] forsythsnow [Threads] |
tropical_depression_two [2018/07/14 17:05] forsythsnow |
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| - | ====== Tropical Depression Two ====== | + | ====== Hurricane Beryl ====== |
| + | Tropical Depression Two formed at the 11 am advisory with winds of 35 mph and a central pressure of 1009 mb on July 5, 2018 in the middle of the Atlantic. It developed quickly and was only designated an invest within a couple days of formation. | ||
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| + | At 2:30 PM on the same day, TD2 was upgraded to a tropical storm and was renamed Beryl. | ||
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| + | By the 5 AM update on the following day, Beryl had strengthened into a 75 mph 995 mb hurricane. | ||
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| + | Beryl continued to intensify until it peaked at 80 mph before rapidly falling apart after the center became sheared apart. Beryl dissipated at 5 pm on July 8, 2018 but was given a chance to redevelop off the coast of Florida a few days later. | ||
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| + | However, it took until July 14, 2018 for Beryl to redevelop. Beryl returned as a subtropical storm north of Bermuda. | ||
| ===== Impacts ===== | ===== Impacts ===== | ||
| - | [List impacts and advisories as well as landfall locations] | + | None other than heavy showers to the Lesser Antilles. |
| ===== Which Model Won? ===== | ===== Which Model Won? ===== | ||
| - | * ECMWF - | + | * ECMWF - 1010 mb low stays very weak and doesn't develop much like the CMC showed. |
| - | * CMC - | + | * CMC - Sniffed out the storm around a run before the Euro did. Weak low that stays above 1008 mb and doesn't make it to any land. Also stays around to south the path of the GFS. |
| - | * GFS - | + | * GFS - Weak low around 1007 mb to 1009 mb heads for Northern Lesser Antilles. |
| - | * FV3 - | + | * FV3 - Very weak low that barely makes it to the Northern Lesser Antilles and stays above 1005 mb and lower than 1011 mb. |
| - | * NAVGEM - | + | * NAVGEM - Weaker low around 1010 mb survives as a wave until South Florida. |
| - | * UKMET - | + | * UKMET - N/A |
| - | * HWRF - | + | * HWRF - Weak low similar to what the other models were showing with a 1007 mb low. Transitioned to hurricane and then TS until Jamaica. |
| - | * HMON - | + | * HMON - One of the stronger models. Has it peaking at 1005 mb but staying weak otherwise. Transitioned to major hurricane. |
| End Result: | End Result: | ||
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| + | * Long - medium range : None. Every model failed to show a quickly intensifying hurricane or even a strong Tropical storm. | ||
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| + | * Short Range : HMON - This was the closest model that showed RI from the system despite showing a major hurricane. All the others kept it too weak. | ||
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| + | * Strength : None. All models were way too strong or way too weak. | ||
| ===== Threads ===== | ===== Threads ===== | ||
| - | *[[ https://southernwx.com/community/threads/tropical-depression-2.405/|Tropical Depression Two]] | + | *[[ https://southernwx.com/community/threads/tropical-depression-2.405/|Hurricane Beryl]] |
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| [[subtropical_storm_alberto|← Subtropical Storm Alberto]] | [[subtropical_storm_alberto|← Subtropical Storm Alberto]] | ||
| ;;# | ;;# | ||
| - | [[nextstormpage|Next Storm →]] | + | [[tropical_depression_three|Hurricane Chris →]] |
| ;;# | ;;# | ||
