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tropical_depression_three [2018/07/09 14:50] forsythsnow created |
tropical_depression_three [2018/07/12 15:55] forsythsnow |
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| - | ====== Tropical Storm Chris ====== | + | ====== Hurricane Chris ====== |
| Tropical Depression 3 formed at the 5 pm advisory on July 6, 2018 with winds of 30 mph and a pressure of 1016 mb off the coast of North Carolina. It remained a depression for a few days before intensifying into Tropical Storm Chris where it hovered off the coast of the Carolinas and intensified further. | Tropical Depression 3 formed at the 5 pm advisory on July 6, 2018 with winds of 30 mph and a pressure of 1016 mb off the coast of North Carolina. It remained a depression for a few days before intensifying into Tropical Storm Chris where it hovered off the coast of the Carolinas and intensified further. | ||
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| + | At the 5 pm advisory on July 10, Chris intensified into a category 1 hurricane with winds of 85 mph and a central pressure of 980 mb. Chris continued on and strengthened as soon as it began to move to the NE and peaked as a 105 mph category 2 hurricane with a central pressure of 970 mb. Chris continued on NE and barely brushed Canada. | ||
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| + | Chris became a post-tropical remnant low on the 11 am advisory on July 12, 2018. | ||
| ===== Impacts ===== | ===== Impacts ===== | ||
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| ===== Which Model Won? ===== | ===== Which Model Won? ===== | ||
| - | * ECMWF - | + | * ECMWF - Weak TS initially, transitioned slowly to strong hurricane, between category 1 and 2, with one run showing a min pressure of 960 mb. Brushes Canada. |
| - | * CMC - | + | * CMC - Sniffed out the system just before the GFS did. |
| - | * GFS - | + | * GFS - Showed a strong hurricane around a category 1 or 2 either brushing Canada or staying just offshore. Some runs brushed Massachusetts. |
| - | * FV3 - | + | * FV3 - Weaker than the GFS and ECMWF and stays out to sea. Still becomes a category 1 hurricane with pressure around 980 mb. |
| - | * NAVGEM - | + | * NAVGEM - Slightly weaker than the FV3 and hits Canada. Pressure around 985 mb. Category 1 hurricane. |
| - | * UKMET - | + | * UKMET - N/A |
| - | * HWRF - | + | * HWRF - Slightly weaker than the HMON on some runs and brushes Canada, though a few runs bring it close to major hurricane strength. Pressure in the 970 mbs |
| - | * HMON - | + | * HMON - Strong Category 2 hurricane brushes or hits Canada. Pressure min is around 963 mb. |
| End Result: | End Result: | ||
| ===== Threads ===== | ===== Threads ===== | ||
| + | [[https://southernwx.com/community/threads/hurricane-chris.406/#post-102583|Hurricane Chris]] | ||
| ===== Storm Images ===== | ===== Storm Images ===== | ||
