CMC first to get storm

FV3 - barely survives and keeps pressure above 1010mb ECMWF - Weak system plunges SE and stays alive for several days before merging with another tropical system GFS - Stronger than the FV3 and ECMWF by about 5mb and winds are still below TS strength CMC- same as FV3 ICON - weaker than FV3 HWRF - Barely touches 1005 mb as a TS for less than 3 hours. First run well after first advisory HMON - Quickly becomes moderate TS with 1001mb pressure min before falling apart.