This is an old revision of the document!
Subtropical Storm Alberto
Subtropical Storm Alberto formed at the 11 am advisory on May 25, 2018 to the east of the Yucatan Peninsula with winds of 40 mph and a central pressure of 1005 mb.
Impacts
Which Model Won?
- GFS - Stuck on a curve right into Florida and going either through the state or up the coast and hooking into AL through SC. Low 1000mbs to ~998mb strength.
- FV3 - Sloppy mess consolidates fast around Florida's big bend, has the same strength as the GFS and meanders about the SE for days.
- CMC - Stronger low, between 988mb and 995mb making landfall between NOLA and Panama City. Moves north slowly and gradually disintegrates.
- ECMWF - Landfall around all of LA to Mobile area as a weak 1000mb to upper 990mbs low. Drifts NE or wanders for a short time.
- ICON - Mid 990mbs low to upper 990mbs low drifting slowly towards TX or LA or Western Gulf.
- NAM - 998mb low moving northward towards Mobile or the FL panhandle.
- HWRF - Strongest model, has 979mb low, strong tropical storm, into W FL panhandle. Moves into S AL and meanders.
- HMON - 998mb low moves and stalls offshore of MS/LA.
- UKMET -
End Result:
