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potential_tropical_cyclone_six [2018/09/04 15:25] forsythsnow |
potential_tropical_cyclone_six [2018/09/18 22:18] (current) forsythsnow |
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Florence was upgraded to a hurricane at the 11 am advisory on September 4, 2018 with winds of 75 mph and a pressure of 990 mb. | Florence was upgraded to a hurricane at the 11 am advisory on September 4, 2018 with winds of 75 mph and a pressure of 990 mb. | ||
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+ | On its 77th advisory at 11 AM on September 18, 2018, Florence dissipated into a remnant low. | ||
===== Impacts ===== | ===== Impacts ===== | ||
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* HMON - Lack of curve due to Florence remaining a weak depression or becoming a strong TS. | * HMON - Lack of curve due to Florence remaining a weak depression or becoming a strong TS. | ||
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+ | === Mid - Atlantic Update === | ||
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+ | * ECMWF - Direct NC/SC hit as a category 3 or 4 hurricane. Ensembles head either into NC or up its coast, or into SC to N FL. Pressure min around 937 mb. | ||
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+ | * CMC - Weaker Cat 2 hurricane at most into NC to S GA. Could possibly be cat 3 or 4 based on environment. | ||
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+ | * GFS - Scrape the East coast from NC northward then go OTS with the strength of a category 5 hurricane. Ensembles relatively OTS to scraping the coast. Pressure nears 925 mb. | ||
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+ | * FV3 - Up the East coast for the most part or scraping NC with direct landfall around cat 3 or 4. Pressure in 960 mbs. | ||
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+ | * NAVGEM - Cat 2 or 3 on course for NC. Pressure in 970 mbs. | ||
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+ | * UKMET - Cat 3 or 4 headed for SC or GA. Pressure in 940 mbs to 950 mbs. Furthest south model. | ||
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+ | * ICON -NC landfall as cat 3 or weak 4 and scrapes the East Coast afterward. Pressure in 950 mbs. | ||
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+ | * HWRF - Cat 4 or 5 headed for S NC or Upstate SC. Pressure in 910 mbs to 930 mbs. | ||
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+ | * HMON - Cat 3 or 4 with pressure in 940 mbs headed towards NC at almost a straight line. | ||
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