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--- potential_tropical_cyclone_fifteen [2017/09/16 14:36]
forsythsnow created
+++ potential_tropical_cyclone_fifteen [2017/09/19 00:11]
forsythsnow [Major Hurricane Maria]
@@ Line 1: / Line 1: @@
-====== Storm Name or Depression Info Here ======
+====== Major Hurricane Maria ======
 Potential Tropical Cyclone 15 formed on the 11 am advisory of September 16, 2017, with sustained winds of 35 mph and a pressure of 1009 mb.
+PTC 15 was upgraded to TD 15 at 2 pm, then Tropical storm Maria on the 5 pm advisory, aimed at Puerto Rico to become a major hurricane.
+At 3 pm on September 17, 2017, Maria was upgraded to a cat 1 hurricane with winds of 75 mph and a pressure of 986 mb.
+After a period of Rapid Intensification on the afternoon of September 18, 2017, Maria became a cat 3 with winds of 125 mph and a pressure of 956 mb.
+At 7:45 PM, Maria was upgraded to a category 5 hurricane, being the second one of the year with 160 mph winds and a 925 mb pressure.
 ===== Impacts =====
 ===== Which Model Won? =====
-  * ECMWF -
+  * ECMWF - Major hurricane hitting or just passing through Greater Antilles, then curving OTS mostly or going into the NE or Southeast.
-  * CMC -
+  * CMC - Anywhere from OTS as a cat 1 to into the Southeast as a Cat 1.
-  * GFS -
+  * GFS - Cat 2 in the Caribbean going just south of Puerto Rico and then into Hispaniola. Landfalls for the US vary from North Florida to the Mid- Atlantic.
-  * NAVGEM -
+  * NAVGEM - Tropical storm into the Greater Antilles.
-  * UKMET -
+  * UKMET - Cat 1 or 2 hurricane along same path as ECMWF and GFS.
-  * HWRF -
+  * HWRF - Strong Category 4 in the Caribbean striking Puerto Rico form the south, but a bit slower than the HMON.
-  * HMON -
+  * HMON - Strong Category 4 in the Caribbean striking Puerto Rico form the south of Hispaniola.
 End Result: